Method Multi-Omics Factor Analysis—a framework for unsupervised integration of multi-omics data sets Ricard Argelaguet1,† , Britta Velten2,† , Damien Arnol1 , Sascha Dietrich3 , Thorsten Zenz3,4,5 , John C Marioni1,6,7 , Florian Buettner1,8,* , Wolfgang Huber2,** & Oliver Stegle1,2,*** Abstract Multi-omics studies promise the improved characterization of biological processes across molecular layers. However, methods for the unsupervised integration of the resulting heterogeneous data sets are lacking. We present Multi-Omics Factor Analysis (MOFA), a computational method for discovering the principal sources of vari- ation in multi-omics data sets. MOFA infers a set of (hidden) factors that capture biological and technical sources of variability. It disen- tangles axes of heterogeneity that are shared across multiple modalities and those specific to individual data modalities. The learnt factors enable a variety of downstream analyses, including identification of sample subgroups, data imputation and the detec- tion of outlier samples. We applied MOFA to a cohort of 200 patient samples of chronic lymphocytic leukaemia, profiled for somatic mutations, RNA expression, DNA methylation and ex vivo drug responses. MOFA identified major dimensions of disease hetero- geneity, including immunoglobulin heavy-chain variable region status, trisomy of chromosome 12 and previously underappreciated drivers, such as response to oxidative stress. In a second applica- tion, we used MOFA to analyse single-cell multi-omics data, identifying coordinated transcriptional and epigenetic changes along cell differentiation. Keywords data integration; dimensionality reduction; multi-omics; personalized medicine; single-cell omics Subject Categories Computational Biology; Genome-Scale & Integrative Biology; Methods & Resources DOI 10.15252/msb.20178124 | Received 27 November 2017 | Revised 28 May 2018 | Accepted 29 May 2018 Mol Syst Biol. (2018) 14: e8124 Introduction Technological advances increasingly enable multiple biological layers to be probed in parallel, ranging from genome, epigenome, transcriptome, proteome and metabolome to phenome profiling (Hasin et al, 2017). Integrative analyses that use information across these data modalities promise to deliver more comprehen- sive insights into the biological systems under study. Motivated by this, multi-omics profiling is increasingly applied across biological domains, including cancer biology (Gerstung et al, 2015; Iorio et al, 2016; Mertins et al, 2016; Cancer Genome Atlas Research Network, 2017), regulatory genomics (Chen et al, 2016), micro- biology (Kim et al, 2016) or host-pathogen biology (Soderholm et al, 2016). Most recent technological advances have also enabled performing multi-omics analyses at the single-cell level (Macaulay et al, 2015; Angermueller et al, 2016; Guo et al, 2017; Clark et al, 2018; Colome´-Tatche´ & Theis, 2018). A common aim of such applications is to characterize heterogeneity between samples, as manifested in one or several of the data modalities (Ritchie et al, 2015). Multi-omics profiling is particularly appealing if the relevant axes of variation are not known a priori, and hence may be missed by studies that consider a single data modality or targeted approaches. A basic strategy for the integration of omics data is testing for marginal associations between different data modalities. A prominent example is molecular quantitative trait locus mapping, where large numbers of association tests are performed between individual genetic variants and gene expression levels (GTEx Consor- tium, 2015) or epigenetic marks (Chen et al, 2016). While em- inently useful for variant annotation, such association studies are inherently local and do not provide a coherent global map of the molecular differences between samples. A second strategy is the use of kernel- or graph-based methods to combine different 1 European Molecular Biology Laboratory, European Bioinformatics Institute, Hinxton, Cambridge, UK 2 European Molecular Biology Laboratory (EMBL), Heidelberg, Germany 3 Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany 4 German Cancer Research Center (dkfz) and National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT), Heidelberg, Germany 5 Germany & Hematology, University Hospital Zurich and University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland 6 Cancer Research UK Cambridge Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK 7 Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, Hinxton, Cambridge, UK 8 Helmholtz Zentrum München–German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Computational Biology, Neuherberg, Germany *Corresponding author. Tel: +49 89 23742560; E-mail: fbuettner.phys@gmail.com **Corresponding author. Tel: +49 6221 387 8823; E-mail: wolfgang.huber@embl.de ***Corresponding author. Tel: +49 6221 3878190; E-mail: oliver.stegle@embl.de †These authors contributed equally to this work ª 2018 The Authors. Published under the terms of the CC BY 4.0 license Molecular Systems Biology 14: e8124 | 2018 1 of 13 data types into a common similarity network between samples (Lanckriet et al, 2004; Wang et al, 2014); however, it is difficult to pinpoint the molecular determinants of the resulting graph structure. Related to this, there exist generalizations of other clustering methods to reconstruct discrete groups of samples based on multiple data modalities (Shen et al, 2009; Mo et al, 2013). A key challenge that is not sufficiently addressed by these approaches is interpretability. In particular, it would be desirable to reconstruct the underlying factors that drive the observed variation across samples. These could be continuous gradients, discrete clusters or combinations thereof. Such factors would help in establishing or explaining associations with external data such as phenotypes or clinical covariates. Although factor models that aim to address this have previously been proposed (e.g. Meng et al, 2014, 2016; Tenenhaus et al, 2014; preprint: Singh et al, 2018), these methods either lack sparsity, which can reduce interpretability, or require a substantial number of parameters to be determined using computationally demanding cross-validation or post hoc. Further challenges faced by existing methods are computational scalability to larger data sets, handling of missing values and non-Gaussian data modalities, such as binary readouts or count-based traits. Results We present Multi-Omics Factor Analysis (MOFA), a statistical method for integrating multiple modalities of omics data in an unsu- pervised fashion. Intuitively, MOFA can be viewed as a versatile and statistically rigorous generalization of principal component analysis (PCA) to multi-omics data. Given several data matrices with measurements of multiple omics data types on the same or on partially overlapping sets of samples, MOFA infers an interpretable low-dimensional data representation in terms of (hidden) factors (Fig 1A). These learnt factors capture major sources of variation across data modalities, thus facilitating the identification of contin- uous molecular gradients or discrete subgroups of samples. The inferred factor loadings can be sparse, thereby facilitating the link- age between the factors and the most relevant molecular features. Importantly, MOFA disentangles to what extent each factor is unique to a single data modality or is manifested in multiple modali- ties (Fig 1B), thereby revealing shared axes of variation between the different omics layers. Once trained, the model output can be used for a range of downstream analyses, including visualization, cluster- ing and classification of samples in the low-dimensional space(s) spanned by the factors, as well as the automated annotation of factors using (gene set) enrichment analysis, the identification of outlier samples and the imputation of missing values (Fig 1B). Technically, MOFA builds upon the statistical framework of group Factor Analysis (Virtanen et al, 2012; Khan et al, 2014; Klami et al, 2015; Bunte et al, 2016; Zhao et al, 2016; Leppa¨aho & Kaski, 2017), which we have adapted to the requirements of multi-omics studies (Materials and Methods): (i) fast inference based on a varia- tional approximation, (ii) inference of sparse solutions facilitating interpretation, (iii) efficient handling of missing values and (iv) flex- ible combination of different likelihood models for each data modality, which enables integrating diverse data types such as binary-, count- and continuous-valued data. The relationship of MOFA to previous approaches (Shen et al, 2009; Virtanen et al, 2012; Mo et al, 2013; Klami et al, 2015; Remes et al, 2015; Bunte et al, 2016; Hore et al, 2016; Zhao et al, 2016; Leppa´aho & Kaski, 2017) is discussed in Materials and Methods and Appendix Table S3. MOFA is implemented as well-documented open-source software and comes with tutorials and example workflows for different appli- cation domains (Materials and Methods). Taken together, these functionalities provide a powerful and versatile tool for disentan- gling sources of variation in multi-omics studies. Model validation and comparison on simulated data First, to validate MOFA, we simulated data from its generative model, varying the number of views, the likelihood models, the number of latent factors and other parameters (Materials and Methods, Appendix Table S1). We found that MOFA was able to accurately reconstruct the latent dimension, except in settings with large numbers of factors or high proportions of missing values (Appendix Fig S1). We also found that models that account for non- Gaussian observations improved the fit when simulating binary or count data (Appendix Figs S2 and S3). We also compared MOFA to two previously reported latent vari- able models for multi-omics integration: GFA (Leppa¨aho & Kaski, 2017) and iCluster (Mo et al, 2013). Over a range of simulations, we observed that GFA and iCluster tended to infer redundant factors (Appendix Fig S4) and were less accurate in recovering patterns of shared factor activity across views (Appendix Fig S5). MOFA is also computationally more efficient than these existing methods (Fig EV1). For example, the training on the CLL data, which we consider next, required 25 min using MOFA versus 34 h with GFA and 5–6 days with iCluster. Application to chronic lymphocytic leukaemia We applied MOFA to a study of chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL), which combined ex vivo drug response measurements with somatic mutation status, transcriptome profiling and DNA methyla- tion assays (Dietrich et al, 2018; Fig 2A). Notably, nearly 40% of the 200 samples were profiled with some but not all omics types; such a missing value scenario is not uncommon in large cohort studies, and MOFA is designed to cope with it (Materials and Meth- ods; Appendix Fig S1). MOFA was configured to combine different likelihood models in order to accommodate the combination of continuous and discrete data types in this study. MOFA identified 10 factors (minimum explained variance 2% in at least one data type; Materials and Methods). These were robust to algorithm initialization as well as subsampling of the data (Appendix Figs S6 and S7). The factors were largely orthogo- nal, capturing independent sources of variation (Appendix Fig S6). Among these, Factors 1 and 2 were active in most assays, indicat- ing broad roles in multiple molecular layers (Fig 2B). In contrast, other factors such as Factor 3 or Factor 5 were specific to two data modalities, and Factor 4 was active in a single data modality only. Cumulatively, the 10 factors explained 41% of variation in the drug response data, 38% in the mRNA data, 24% in the DNA methylation data and 24% in the mutation data (Fig 2C). We also trained MOFA when excluding individual data modali- ties to probe their redundancy, finding that factors that were active 2 of 13 Molecular Systems Biology 14: e8124 | 2018 ª 2018 The Authors Molecular Systems Biology Multi-Omics Factor Analysis Ricard Argelaguet et al in multiple data modalities could still be recovered, while the identification of others was dependent on a specific data type (Appendix Fig S8). In comparison with GFA (Leppa¨aho & Kaski, 2017) and iCluster (Mo et al, 2013), MOFA was more consistent in identifying factors across multiple model instances (Appendix Fig S9). MOFA identifies important clinical markers in CLL and reveals an underappreciated axis of variation attributed to oxidative stress As part of the downstream pipeline, MOFA provides different strate- gies to use the loadings of the features on each factor to identify their aetiology (Fig 1B). For example, based on the top weights in the mutation data, Factor 1 was aligned with the somatic mutation status of the immunoglobulin heavy-chain variable region gene (IGHV), while Factor 2 aligned with trisomy of chromosome 12 (Fig 2D and E). Thus, MOFA correctly identified two major axes of molecular disease heterogeneity and aligned them with two of the most important clinical markers in CLL (Zenz et al, 2010; Fabbri & Dalla-Favera, 2016; Fig 2D and E). IGHV status, the marker associated with Factor 1, is a surrogate of the differentiation state of the tumour’s cell of origin and the level of activation of the B-cell receptor. While in clinical practice this axis of variation is generally considered binary (Fabbri & Dalla-Favera, 2016), our results indicate a more complex substructure (Fig 3A, Appendix Fig S10). At the current resolution, this factor was consistent with three subgroup models such as proposed by Oakes et al (2016) and Queiros et al (2015) (Appendix Fig S11), although there is suggestive evidence for an underlying continuum. MOFA connected this factor to multiple molecular layers (Appendix Figs S12 and S13), including changes in the expression of genes previously linked to IGHV status (Vasconcelos et al, 2005; Maloum et al, 2009; Trojani et al, 2012; Morabito et al, 2015; Plesingerova et al, 2017; Fig 3B and C) and with drugs that target kinases in or downstream of the B-cell receptor pathway (Fig 3D and E). Despite their clinical importance, the IGHV and the trisomy 12 factors accounted for < 20% of the variance explained by MOFA, suggesting the existence of other sources of heterogeneity. One example is Factor 5, which was active in the mRNA and drug response data. Analysis of the weights in the mRNA revealed that this factor tagged a set of genes enriched for oxida- tive stress and senescence pathways (Figs 2F and EV2A), with the top weights corresponding to heat-shock proteins (HSPs; Fig EV2B and C), genes that are essential for protein folding and are up-regulated upon stress conditions (Srivastava, 2002; A˚kerfelt et al, 2010). Although genes in HSP pathways are up- regulated in some cancers and have known roles in tumour cell survival (Trachootham et al, 2009), thus far this gene family has received little attention in the context of CLL. Consistent with Annotation of factors Imputation of missing values Variance decomposition by factor 654321 0.05 0.15 0.25 R2 29 −1 0 1 −1 0 1 2 3 Factor 1 Fa cto r 2 A 0 2 4 Feature set enrichment analysis Gene expression 1 0.5 0 p-value 7 Factor Inspection of loadings Factors Fe at ur es Cell cycle Ribosome assembly Splicing regulation mRNA degradation Inspection of factors B Samples Fe at ur es Factors Fe at ur es As sa y 1 Assay 2 Assay m Fa ct or s Samples ×≈ Figure 1. Multi-Omics Factor Analysis: model overview and downstream analyses. A Model overview: MOFA takes M data matrices as input (Y1,. . ., YM), one or more from each data modality, with co-occurrent samples but features that are not necessarily related and that can differ in numbers. MOFA decomposes these matrices into a matrix of factors (Z) for each sample and M weight matrices, one for each data modality (W1,.., WM). White cells in the weight matrices correspond to zeros, i.e. inactive features, whereas the cross symbol in the data matrices denotes missing values. B The fitted MOFA model can be queried for different downstream analyses, including (i) variance decomposition, assessing the proportion of variance explained by each factor in each data modality, (ii) semi-automated factor annotation based on the inspection of loadings and gene set enrichment analysis, (iii) visualization of the samples in the factor space and (iv) imputation of missing values, including missing assays. ª 2018 The Authors Molecular Systems Biology 14: e8124 | 2018 3 of 13 Ricard Argelaguet et al Multi-Omics Factor Analysis Molecular Systems Biology this annotation based on the mRNA data, we observed that the drugs with the strongest weights on Factor 5 were associated with response to oxidative stress, such as target reactive oxygen species (ROS), DNA damage response and apoptosis (Fig EV2D and E). Factor 4 captured 9% of variation in the mRNA data, and gene set enrichment analysis on the mRNA loadings suggested aetiologies related to immune response pathways and T-cell receptor signalling (Fig 2F), likely due to differences in cell type composition between samples: While the samples are comprised mainly of B cells, Factor 4 revealed a possible contamination with other cell types such as T cells and monocytes (Appendix Fig S14). Factor 3 explained 11% of variation in the drug response data capturing differences in the samples’ general level of drug sensitivity (Geeleher et al, 2016; Appendix Fig S15). MOFA identifies outlier samples and accurately imputes missing values Next, we explored the relationship between inferred factors and clinical annotations, which can be missing, mis-annotated or inaccu- rate, since they are frequently based on single markers or imperfect surrogates (Westra et al, 2011). Since IGHV status is the major biomarker impacting on clinical care, we assessed the consistency between the inferred continuous Factor 1 and this binary marker. For 176 out of 200 patients, the MOFA factor was in agreement with the clinical IGHV status, and MOFA further allowed for classifying 12 patients that lacked clinically measured IGHV status (Fig EV3A and B). Interestingly, MOFA assigned 12 patients to a different group than suggested by their clinical IGHV label. Upon inspection 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Factor 0.05 0.10 0.15 R2 A B Drug response D=310 Methylation D=4248 mRNA D=5000 Mutations D=69 Patients (N=200) 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 R2 D N=184 N=196 N=136 N=200 C gain14q32 del13q14 del14q24.3 del11q22.3 trisomy12 0 0.5 1 Absolute loading on Factor 2 BRAF MED12 del11q22.3 KLHL6 IGHV 0 0.5 1 Absolute loading on Factor 1 F RNA regulationImmune Response cellular stress other 0 20 40 60 80 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Factor En ric he d ge ne s et s at F DR 1 % −3 −2 −1 0 1 −1 0 1 2 Factor 1 Fa ct or 2 U−CLL, no tr12 U−CLL, tr12 M−CLL, no tr12 M−CLL, tr12 missingE Figure 2. Application of MOFA to a study of chronic lymphocytic leukaemia. A Study overview and data types. Data modalities are shown in different rows (D = number of features) and samples (N) in columns, with missing samples shown using grey bars. B, C (B) Proportion of total variance explained (R2) by individual factors for each assay and (C) cumulative proportion of total variance explained. D Absolute loadings of the top features of Factors 1 and 2 in the Mutations data. E Visualization of samples using Factors 1 and 2. The colours denote the IGHV status of the tumours; symbol shape and colour tone indicate chromosome 12 trisomy status. F Number of enriched Reactome gene sets per factor based on the gene expression data (FDR < 1%). The colours denote categories of related pathways defined as in Appendix Table S2. 4 of 13 Molecular Systems Biology 14: e8124 | 2018 ª 2018 The Authors Molecular Systems Biology Multi-Omics Factor Analysis Ricard Argelaguet et al of the underlying molecular data, nine of these cases showed inter- mediate molecular signatures, suggesting that they are borderline cases that are not well captured by the binary classification; the remaining three cases were clearly discordant (Fig EV3C and D). Additional independent drug response assays as well as whole exome sequencing data confirmed that these cases are outliers within their IGHV group (Fig EV3E and F). As incomplete data is a common problem in studies that combine multiple high-throughput assays, we assessed the ability of MOFA to fill in missing values within assays as well as when entire data modalities are missing for some of the samples. For both imputation tasks, MOFA yielded more accurate predictions than other estab- lished imputation strategies, including imputation by feature-wise mean, SoftImpute (Mazumder et al, 2010) and a k-nearest neigh- bour method (Troyanskaya et al, 2001; Fig EV4, Appendix Fig S16), and MOFA was more robust than GFA, especially in the case of missing assays (Appendix Fig S17). Latent factors inferred by MOFA are predictive of clinical outcomes Finally, we explored the utility of the latent factors inferred by MOFA as predictors in models of clinical outcomes. Three of the 10 factors identified by MOFA were significantly associated with time to next treatment (Cox regression, Materials and Methods, FDR < 1%, Fig 4A and B): Factor 1, related to the B-cell of origin, Fa ct or 1 − 1. 5 − 0. 5 0. 5 1. 5 Factor clusters LZ IZ HZ mRNA Drug response Concentration [μΜ] AZD7762 dasatinib 0 10 20 30 40 0 10 20 30 40 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 vi ab ilit y LZ IZ HZ NU7441 TAE684 thapsigargin MK−1775 ibrutinib SCH 900776 spebrutinib idelalisib duvelisib PRT062607 HCl tamatinib PF 477736 AZD7762 AT13387 dasatinib 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Absolute loading on Factor 1 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 ADAM29 WNT9A MAPK4 SPG20 NETO1 BCL7A NPTX1 PSD3 RBMS3 PPP1R9A KANK2 CRY1 PLD1 L3MBTL4 LDOC1 LPL ZNF471 SOWAHC SEPT10 ZNF667 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 ZNF667 SEPT10 SOWAHC ZNF471 LPL LDOC1 L3MBTL4 PLD1 CRY1 KANK2 PPP1R9A RBMS3 PSD3 NPTX1 BCL7A NETO1 SPG20 MAPK4 WNT9A ADAM29 Factor 1 Clusters Samples + − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − Drug Categories BCR pathway CHK HSP90 other known IGHV-association normalized gene expression A B C ED Figure 3. Characterization of the inferred factor associated with the differentiation state of the cell of origin. A Beeswarm plot with Factor 1 values for each sample with colours corresponding to three groups found by 3-means clustering with low factor values (LZ), intermediate factor values (IZ) and high factor values (HZ). B Absolute loadings for the genes with the largest absolute weights in the mRNA data. Plus or minus symbols on the right indicate the sign of the loading. Genes highlighted in orange were previously described as prognostic markers in CLL and associated with IGHV status (Vasconcelos et al, 2005; Maloum et al, 2009; Trojani et al, 2012; Morabito et al, 2015; Plesingerova et al, 2017). C Heatmap of gene expression values for genes with the largest weights as in (B). D Absolute loadings of the drugs with the largest weights, annotated by target category. E Drug response curves for two of the drugs with top weights, stratified by the clusters as in (A). ª 2018 The Authors Molecular Systems Biology 14: e8124 | 2018 5 of 13 Ricard Argelaguet et al Multi-Omics Factor Analysis Molecular Systems Biology and two Factors, 7 and 8, associated with chemo-immunotherapy treatment prior to sample collection (P < 0.01, t-test). In particular, Factor 7 captures del17p and TP53 mutations as well as differences in methylation patterns of oncogenes (Garg et al, 2014; Fluhr et al, 2016; Appendix Fig S18), while Factor 8 is associated with WNT signalling (Appendix Fig S19). We also assessed the prediction performance when combining the 10 MOFA factors in a multivariate Cox regression model. Notably, this model yielded higher prediction accuracy than models using components derived from conventional PCA (Fig 4C), individ- ual molecular features (Appendix Fig S20) or MOFA factors derived from only a subset of the available data modalities (Appendix Fig S8B and D; assessed using cross-validation, Materials and Methods). The predictive value of MOFA factors was similar to clinical covari- ates (such as lymphocyte doubling time) that are used to guide treatment decisions (Appendix Fig S21). + + + ++ ++++ +++++++ ++ + +++ + ++++ ++++++ +++++ + + ++++++++ p < 0.00010 25 50 75 100 0 1 2 3 Time to treatment Su rv iva l p ro ba bi lity (% ) Factor 1 + + + ++ + + + + + + +++++ ++++++++++++++++ ++++ ++++++++ p < 0.00010 25 50 75 100 0 1 2 3 Time to treatment Factor 7 + ++ ++++ ++ + + + + + ++ + ++++ +++++++++++++++ ++++ ++++++++ p < 0.00010 25 50 75 100 0 1 2 3 Time to treatment Factor 8 A C B 2.6e−05 0.25 0.11 0.32 0.11 0.95 5.5e−07 3.8e−06 0.094 0.82 0.75 1.00 1.50 2.00 3.00 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 (Positive) Hazard Ratio Fa ct or 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 H ar re ll's C −i nd ex M et hy la tio n M O FA fa ct or s a llD ru gs m R N A M ut at io ns Input data Figure 4. Relationship between clinical data and latent factors. A Association of MOFA factors to time to next treatment using a univariate Cox regression with N = 174 samples (96 of which are uncensored cases) and P-values based on the Wald statistic. Error bars denote 95% confidence intervals. Numbers on the right denote P-values for each predictor. B Kaplan–Meier plots measuring time to next treatment for the individual MOFA factors. The cut-points on each factor were chosen using maximally selected rank statistics (Hothorn & Lausen, 2003), and P-values were calculated using a log-rank test on the resulting groups. C Prediction accuracy of time to treatment for N = 174 patients using multivariate Cox regression trained using the 10 factors derived using MOFA, as well using the first 10 components obtained from PCA applied to the corresponding single data modalities and the full data set (assessed on hold-out data). Shown are average values of Harrell’s C-index from fivefold cross-validation. Error bars denote standard error of the mean. 6 of 13 Molecular Systems Biology 14: e8124 | 2018 ª 2018 The Authors Molecular Systems Biology Multi-Omics Factor Analysis Ricard Argelaguet et al In an application to single cell data MOFA reveals coordinated changes between the transcriptome and the epigenome along a differentiation trajectory As multi-omics approaches are also beginning to emerge in single- cell biology (Macaulay et al, 2015; Angermueller et al, 2016; Guo et al, 2017; Clark et al, 2018; Colome´-Tatche´ & Theis, 2018), we investigated the potential of MOFA to disentangle the heterogeneity observed in such studies. We applied MOFA to a data set of 87 mouse embryonic stem cells (mESCs), comprising of 16 cells cultured in “2i” media, which induces a naive pluripotency state, and 71 serum-grown cells, which commits cells to a primed pluripotency state poised for cellular differentiation (Angermueller et al, 2016). All cells were profiled using single-cell methylation and transcriptome sequencing, which provides parallel information of these two molecular layers (Fig 5A). We applied MOFA to disentan- gle the observed heterogeneity in the transcriptome and the CpG methylation at three different genomic contexts: promoters, CpG islands and enhancers. MOFA identified three major factors driving cell–cell heterogene- ity (minimum explained variance of 2%, Materials and Methods): while Factor 1 is shared across all data modalities (7% variance explained in the RNA data and between 53 and 72% in the methyla- tion data sets), Factors 2 and 3 are active primarily in the RNA data Culture Met CpG Islands D=5000 Met Promoters D=5000 Met Enhancers D=5000 RNA expression D=5000 Samples (N=87) 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 R2 Factor 1 2 3 R2 A B C D E −1 0 1 −4 −2 0 2 Factor 1 Fa ct or 2 Lo ad in g Fa ct or 1 Lo a di ng F ac to r 2 Klf4Tbx3 Tex19.1 Tcl1Esrrb Jam2 Fbxo15 Morc1 Zfp42 0.00 0.50 1.00 Rank position Krt19Anxa3 TaglnAhnak Anxa5Cald1 Krt8 0.00 0.50 1.00 Serum2i N=81 N=83 N=83 N=83 Figure 5. Application of MOFA to a single-cell multi-omics study. A Study overview and data types. Data modalities are shown in different rows (D = number of features) and samples (N) in columns, with missing samples shown using grey bars. B, C (B) Fraction of the variance explained (R2) by individual factors for each data modality and (C) cumulative proportion of variance explained. D Absolute loadings of Factor 1 (bottom) and Factor 2 (top) in the mRNA data. Labelled genes in Factor 1 are known markers of pluripotency (Mohammed et al, 2017) and genes labelled in Factor 2 are known differentiation markers (Fuchs, 1988). E Scatterplot of Factors 1 and 2. Colours denote culture conditions. The grey arrow illustrates the differentiation trajectory from naive pluripotent cells via primed pluripotent cells to differentiated cells. ª 2018 The Authors Molecular Systems Biology 14: e8124 | 2018 7 of 13 Ricard Argelaguet et al Multi-Omics Factor Analysis Molecular Systems Biology (Fig 5B and C). Gene loadings revealed that Factor 1 captured the cells’ transition from naı¨ve to primed pluripotent states, pinpointing pluripotency markers such as Rex1/Zpf42, Tbx3, Fbxo15 and Essrb (Mohammed et al, 2017; Figs 5D and EV5A). MOFA connected these transcriptomic changes to coordinated changes in the genome- wide DNA methylation rate across all genomic contexts (Fig EV5B), as previously described both in vitro (Angermueller et al, 2016) and in vivo (Auclair et al, 2014). Factor 2 captured a second axis of dif- ferentiation from the primed pluripotency state to a differentiated state with highest RNA loadings for known differentiation markers such as keratins and annexins (Fuchs, 1988; Figs 5D and EV5C). Finally, Factor 3 captured the cellular detection rate, a known tech- nical covariate associated with cell quality and mRNA content (Finak et al, 2015; Appendix Fig S22). Jointly, Factors 1 and 2 captured the entire differentiation trajec- tory from naive pluripotent cells via primed pluripotent cells to dif- ferentiated cells (Fig 5E), illustrating the importance of learning continuous latent factors rather than discrete sample assignments. Multi-omics clustering algorithms such as SNF (Wang et al, 2014) or iCluster (Shen et al, 2009; Mo et al, 2013) were only capable of distinguishing cellular subpopulations, but not of recovering contin- uous processes such as cell differentiation (Appendix Fig S23). Discussion Multi-Omics Factor Analysis (MOFA) is an unsupervised method for decomposing the sources of heterogeneity in multi-omics data sets. We applied MOFA to high-dimensional and incomplete multi-omics profiles collected from patient-derived tumour samples and to a single-cell study of mESCs. First, in the CLL study, we demonstrated that our method is able to identify major drivers of variation in a clinically and biologically heterogeneous disease. Most notably, our model identified previ- ously known clinical markers as well as novel putative molecular drivers of heterogeneity, some of which were predictive of clinical outcome. Additionally, since MOFA factors capture variations of multiple features and data modalities, inferred factors can help to mitigate assay noise, thereby increasing the sensitivity for identify- ing molecular signatures compared to using individual features or assays. Our results also demonstrate that MOFA can leverage infor- mation from multiple omics layers to accurately impute missing values from sparse profiling data sets and guide the detection of outliers, e.g. due to mislabelled samples or sample swaps. In a second application, we used MOFA for the analysis of single- cell multi-omics data. This use case illustrates the advantage of learning continuous factors, rather than discrete groups, enabling MOFA to recover a differentiation trajectory by combining informa- tion from two sparsely profiled molecular layers. While applications of factor models for integrating different data types were reported previously (Lanckriet et al, 2004; Shen et al, 2009; Akavia et al, 2010; Mo et al, 2013), MOFA provides unique features (Materials and Methods, Appendix Table S3) that enable the interpretable reconstruction of the underlying factors and accommodating different data types as well as different patterns of missing data. MOFA is available as open-source software and includes semi-automated analysis pipelines allowing for in-depth characterizations of inferred factors. Taken together, this will foster the accessibility of interpretable factor models for a wide range of multi-omics studies. Although we have addressed important challenges for multi- omics applications, MOFA is not free of limitations. The model is linear, which means that it can miss strongly non-linear relation- ships between features within and across assays (Buettner & Theis, 2012). Non-linear extensions of MOFA may address this, although, as with any models in high-dimensional spaces, there will be trade- offs between model complexity, computational efficiency and inter- pretability (preprint: Damianou et al, 2016). A related area of work is to incorporate prior information on the relationships between individual features. For example, future extensions could make use of pathway databases within each omic type (Buettner et al, 2017) or priors that reflect relationships given by the “dogma of molecular biology”. In addition, new likelihoods and noise models could expand the value of MOFA in data sets with specific statistical prop- erties that hamper the application of traditional statistical methods, including zero-inflated data (i.e. scRNA-Seq; Pierson & Yau, 2015) or binomial distributed data (i.e. splicing events; Huang & Sangui- netti, 2017). Finally, while here we focus our attention on the point estimates of inferred factors, future extensions could attempt a more comprehensive Bayesian treatment that propagates evidence strength and estimation uncertainties to diagnostics and down- stream analyses. Materials and Methods Multi-Omics Factor Analysis model Starting from M data matrices Y1,..,YM of dimensions N × Dm, where N is the number of samples and Dm the number of features in data matrix m, MOFA decomposes these matrices as Ym ¼ ZWmT þ em m ¼ 1; . . .;M: (1) Here, Z denotes the factor matrix (common for all data matrices) and Wm denotes the weight matrices for each data matrix m (also referred to as view m in the following). em denotes the view- specific residual noise term, with its form depending on the speci- fics of the data type (see Noise model). The model is formulated in a probabilistic Bayesian framework, where we place prior distributions on all unobserved variables of the model (see plate diagram in Appendix Fig S24), i.e. the factors Z, the weight matrices Wm and the parameters of the residual noise term. In particular, we use a standard normal prior for the factors Z and employ sparsity priors for the weight matrices (see next section). Model regularization An appropriate regularization of the weight matrices is essential for the model’s ability to disentangle variation across data sets and to yield interpretable factors. MOFA uses a two-level regularization: the first level encourages view- and factor-wise sparsity, thereby allowing to directly identify which factor is active in which view. The second level encourages feature-wise sparsity, thereby typically resulting in a small number of features with active weights. To 8 of 13 Molecular Systems Biology 14: e8124 | 2018 ª 2018 The Authors Molecular Systems Biology Multi-Omics Factor Analysis Ricard Argelaguet et al encode these sparsity levels, we combine an Automatic Relevance Determination (ARD) prior for the first type of the sparsity with a spike-and-slab prior for the second. For amenable inference, we model the spike-and-slab prior by parameterizing the weights as a product of a Bernoulli distributed random variable and a normally distributed random variable: W ¼ ScW , where smdk  Ber ðhmk Þ andcWmdk  Nð0; 1=amk Þ. To automatically learn the appropriate level of regularization for each factor and view, we use uninformative conjugate prior on amk , which controls the strength of factor k in view m, and on hmk , which determines the feature-wise sparsity level of factor k in view m (see Appendix Supplementary Methods, Section 2 for details). Noise model MOFA supports the combination of different noise models to inte- grate diverse data types, including continuous, binary and count data. A standard noise model for continuous data is the Gaussian noise model assuming iid heteroscedastic residuals em, i.e. emnd  Nð0; 1=smd Þ, with Gamma prior on the precision parameters smd . MOFA further supports noise models for binary and count data that are not appropriately modelled using a Gaussian likelihood. In the current version, MOFA models count data using a Poisson model and binary data by using a Bernoulli model. Here, the model likeli- hood is given by ymnd  Poi k Zn:wTd:    and ymnd  Ber r Zn:wTd:    , respectively, where kðxÞ ¼ logð1 þ exÞ and r denotes the logistic function rðxÞ ¼ ð1 þ exÞ1. Parameter inference For scalability, we make use of a variational Bayesian framework, which is essentially a mean field approximation for approximate inference (Blei et al, 2017). The key idea is to approximate the intractable posterior distribution using a simpler class of distribu- tions by minimizing the Kullback–Leibler divergence to the exact posterior, or equivalently maximizing the evidence lower bound (ELBO). Convergence of the algorithm can be monitored based on the ELBO. An overview of variational inference and details on the specific implementation for MOFA can be found in Appendix Supple- mentary Methods, Section 3. To enable an efficient inference for non-Gaussian likelihoods, we employ variational lower bounds on the likelihood (Jaakkola & Jordan, 2000; Seeger & Bouchard, 2012; see Appendix Supplementary Methods, Section 4). Model training and selection An important part of the training is the determination of the number of factors. Factors are automatically inactivated by the ARD prior of the model as described in Model regularization. In practice, factors are pruned during training using a minimum fraction of variance explained threshold that needs to be specified by the user. Alterna- tively, the user can fix the number of factors and the minimum vari- ance criterion is ignored. In the analyses presented, we initialized the models with K = 25 factors and they were pruned during train- ing using a threshold of variance explained of 2%. For details on the implementation as well as practical considerations for training and choice of the threshold parameter, refer to Appendix Supplementary Methods, Section 5. While the inferred factors are robust under different initializa- tions (e.g. Appendix Fig S6C and D), the optimization landscape is non-convex, and hence, the algorithm is not guaranteed to converge to a global optimum. Results presented here are based on 10–25 random restarts, selecting the model with the highest ELBO (e.g. Appendix Fig S6B). Downstream analysis for factor interpretation and annotation As part of MOFA, we provide the R package MOFAtools, which provides a semi-automated pipeline for the characterization and interpretation of the latent factors. In all downstream analyses, we use the expectations of the model variables under the posterior distributions inferred by the variational framework. The first step, after a model has been trained, is to disentangle the variation explained by each factor in each view. To this end, we compute the fraction of the variance explained (R2) by factor k in view m as R2m;k ¼ 1 X n;d ymnd  znkwmkd  lmd  2 = X n;d ymnd  lmd  2 as well as the fraction of variance explained per view taking into account all factors R2m ¼ 1 X n;d ymnd  X k znkw m kd  lmd  2 = X n;d ymnd  lmd  2 Here, lmd denotes the feature-wise mean. Subsequently, each factor is characterized by three complementary analyses: 1 Ordination of the samples in factor space: Visualize a low- dimensional representation of the main drivers of sample heterogeneity. 2 Inspection of top features with largest weight: The loadings can give insights into the biological process underlying the hetero- geneity captured by a latent factor. Due to scale differences between assays, the weights of different views are not directly comparable. For simplicity, we scale each weight vector by its absolute value. 3 Feature set enrichment analysis: Combine the signal from func- tionally related sets of features (e.g. gene sets) to derive a feature set-based annotation. By default, we use a parametric t-test comparing the means of the foreground set (the weights of features that belong to a set G) and the background set (the weights of features that do not belong to the set G), similar to the approach described in Frost et al (2015). Relationship to existing methods MOFA builds upon the statistical framework of group Factor Analysis (Virtanen et al, 2012; Khan et al, 2014; Klami et al, 2015; Bunte et al, 2016; Zhao et al, 2016; Leppa¨aho & Kaski, 2017) and is in part also related to the iCluster methods (Shen et al, 2009; Mo et al, 2013) as shown in Appendix Table S3. Here, we describe these connections in further detail. iCluster In contrast to MOFA, iCluster uses in each view the same extent of regularization for all factors, which may be sufficient for the purpose of clustering (the primary application of iCluster); however, ª 2018 The Authors Molecular Systems Biology 14: e8124 | 2018 9 of 13 Ricard Argelaguet et al Multi-Omics Factor Analysis Molecular Systems Biology it results in a reduced ability for distinguishing factors that drive variation in distinct subsets of views (Appendix Fig S5). Addition- ally, unlike MOFA and GFA, iCluster does not handle missing values and is computationally demanding (Fig EV1), as it requires re-fitting the model for a large range of different penalty parameters and choices of the model dimension. Group Factor Analysis While the underlying model of MOFA is closely connected to the most recent GFA implementation (Leppa¨aho & Kaski, 2017), GFA is restricted to Gaussian observation noise. In terms of the algo- rithmic implementation, MOFA uses an additional “burn-in period” during training during which the sparsity constraints are deacti- vated to avoid early splitting of factors and actively drops factors below a predefined variance threshold (see Model training and selection). In contrast, GFA directly uses sparsity constraints throughout training and also maintains factors that have near-zero relevance. In terms of inference, MOFA is implemented using a variational approximate Bayesian inference, whereas GFA is based on a Gibbs sampler. In terms of computational scalability (Fig EV1), both methods are linear in the model’s parameters, although GFA is computationally more expensive in absolute terms. This difference is particularly pronounced for data sets with missing data. This, together with the inability to deactivate factors during inference (Appendix Fig S4), renders GFA considerably slower in applications to real data. Details on the simulation studies Model validation To validate MOFA, we simulated data from the generative model for a varying number of views (M = 1,3,. . .,21), features (D = 100,500,. . .,10,000), factors (K = 5,10,. . .,60), missing values (from 0 to 90%) as well as for non-Gaussian likelihoods (Poisson, Bernoulli; see Appendix Table S1 for simulation parameters). We assessed the ability of MOFA to recover the true simulated number of factors in the different settings, where we considered 10 repeat experiments for every configuration. All trials were started with a high number of factors (K = 100), and inactive factors were pruned as described in Model training and selection. Model comparison To compare MOFA with to GFA, we simulated data from the underlying generative model with Ktrue = 10 factors, M = 3 views, N = 100 samples, D = 5,000 features each and 5% missing values (missing at random). For each of the three views, we used a dif- ferent likelihood model: continuous data were simulated with a Gaussian distribution, binary data with a Bernoulli distribution and count data with a Poisson distribution. Except for the non- Gaussian likelihood extension, both methods share the same underlying generative model, thus allowing for a meaningful comparison. We fit ten realizations of the MOFA and GFA models with Kinitial = 20 factors and let the method determine the most likely number factors. To assess scalability, we considered the same base parameter settings, varying one of the simulation parameters at a time (number of factors K, number of features D, number of samples N and number of views M, all Gaussian). To assess the ability to reconstruct factor activity patterns, we simulated data from the generative model for Ktrue = 10 and Ktrue = 15 factors (M, N, D as before, no missing values, only Gaussian views), where factors were set to either active or inactive in a specific view by sampling the parameter amk from {1,10 3}. Appendix Table S1 shows in more detail the simulation parameters used in each setting. Details on the CLL analysis Data processing The data were taken from (Dietrich et al, 2018), where details on the data generation and processing can be found. Briefly, this data set consists of somatic mutations (combination of targeted and whole exome sequencing), RNA expression (RNA-Seq), DNA methy- lation (Illumina arrays) and ex vivo drug response screens (ATP- based CellTiter-Glo assay). For the training of MOFA, we included 62 drug response measurements (excluding NSC 74859 and borte- zomib due to bad quality) at five concentrations each (D = 310) with a threshold at 1.1 to remove outliers. Mutations were consid- ered if present in at least three samples (D = 69). Low counts from RNA-Seq data were filtered out and the data were normalized using the estimateSizeFactors and varianceStabilizingTransformation func- tion of DESeq2 (Love et al, 2014). For training, we considered the top D = 5,000 most variable mRNAs after exclusion of genes from the Y chromosome. Methylation data were transformed to M-values, and we extracted the top 1% most variable CpG sites excluding sex chromosomes (D = 4,248). We included patients diagnosed with CLL and having data in at least two views into the MOFA model leading to a total of N = 200 samples. Model training and selection We trained MOFA using 25 random initializations with a variance threshold of 2% and selected the model with the best fit for down- stream analysis (see Model training and selection). Gene set enrichment analysis Gene set enrichment analysis was performed based on Reactome gene sets (Fabregat et al, 2015) as described above. Resulting P- values were adjusted for multiple testing for each factor using the Benjamini–Hochberg procedure (Benjamini & Hochberg, 1995). Significant enrichments were at a false discovery rate of 1%. Imputation To compare imputation performance, we trained MOFA on the subset of samples with all measurements (N = 121) and masked at random either single values or all measurements for randomly selected samples in the drug response. After model training, the masked values were imputed directly from the model equation (1) and the accuracy was assessed in terms of mean squared error on the true (masked) values. For both settings, we fixed the number of factors in MOFA to K = 10. To investigate the dependence on K for imputation and to compare MOFA to GFA, we re-ran the same masking experiments varying K = 1,. . .,20 (Appendix Fig S17). Survival analysis Associations between the inferred factors and clinical covariates were assessed using the patients’ time to next treatment as 10 of 13 Molecular Systems Biology 14: e8124 | 2018 ª 2018 The Authors Molecular Systems Biology Multi-Omics Factor Analysis Ricard Argelaguet et al response variable in a Cox model (N = 174 samples with treatment information, 96 of which are uncensored cases). For univariate association tests (as shown in Fig 4A, Appendix Fig S21), we scaled all predictors to ensure comparability of the hazard ratios and we rotated factors, which are rotational invariant, such that their hazard ratio is greater or equal to 1. To investigate the predictive power of different data sets, we used a multivariate Cox model and compared Harrell’s C-index of predictions in a stratified fivefold cross-validation scheme. As predictors, we included the top 10 principal components calculated on the data for each single view, a concatenated data set (“all”) as well as the 10 MOFA factors. Missing values in a view were set to the feature-wise mean. In a second set of models, we used the complete set of all features in a view with a ridge penalty in the Cox model as imple- mented in the R package glmnet. For the Kaplan–Meier plots, an optimal cut-point on each factor was determined to define the two groups using the maximally selected rank statistics as implemented in the R package survminer with P-values based on a log-rank test between the resulting groups. Details on the scMT analysis The data were obtained from Angermueller et al (2016), where details on the data generation and pre-processing can be found. Briefly for each CpG site, we calculated a binary methylation rate from the ratio of methylated read counts to total read counts. RNA expression data were normalized using Lun et al (2016). To fit MOFA, we considered the top 5,000 most variable genes with a maximum dropout of 90% and the top 5,000 most variable CpG sites with a minimum coverage of 10% across cells. Model selection was performed as described for the CLL data, and factors were inac- tivated below a minimum explained variance of 2%. For the cluster- ing analysis using SNF and iCluster, the optimal number of clusters was selected using the BIC criterion. Data and software availability • The CLL data were obtained from Dietrich et al (2018) and are available at the European Genome–Phenome Archive under accession EGAS00001001746 and data tables as R objects can be downloaded from http://pace.embl.de/. The single-cell data were obtained from Angermueller et al (2016) and are available in the Gene Expression Omnibus under accession GSE74535. All data used are contained within the MOFA vignettes and can be down- loaded as from https://github.com/bioFAM/MOFA. • An open-source implementation of MOFA in R and Python is available from https://github.com/bioFAM/MOFA. Code to repro- duce all the analyses presented is available at https://github.com/ bioFAM/MOFA_analysis. Expanded View for this article is available online. Acknowledgements We thank everybody involved in the generation and analysis of the original CLL study for sharing their data and analysis ahead of publication, especially M. Oles for providing the associated data package and to J. Lu, J. Hüllein and A. Mock for discussions on CLL biology. The work was supported by the European Union (Horizon 2020 project SOUND) and project PanCanRisk). Author contributions RA and BV contributed equally and are listed alphabetically. FB, DA and OS conceived the model. RA, DA and BV implemented the model. TZ, SD and WH designed the CLL study and generated the data. RA and BV performed the analysis. RA, BV, DA, TZ, SD, WH, OS, FB and JCM interpreted the results. RA, BV, OS, WH and FB conceived the project. RA, BV, OS, FB and WH wrote the manu- script. OS, WH, FB and JCM supervised the project. Conflict of interest The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest. 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