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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="doi">10.1111/(ISSN)1551-6709</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">COGS</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title xml:lang="en">Cognitive Science</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher" xml:lang="en">Cognitive Science</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn publication-format="ppub">0364-0213</issn>
<issn publication-format="epub">1551-6709</issn>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1111/cogs.13188</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">COGS13188</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="overline" xml:lang="en">
<subject>Regular Article</subject>
</subj-group>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading" xml:lang="en">
<subject>Regular Article</subject>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en">Generalization Bias in Science</article-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="left-running-head">U. Peters, A. Krauss, O. Braganza</alt-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib id="cogs13188-cr-0001" contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Peters</surname>
<given-names>Uwe</given-names>
</name>
<email>up228@cam.ac.uk</email>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="correspondenceTo">*</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="cogs13188-aff-0001">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="cogs13188-aff-0002">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib id="cogs13188-cr-0002" contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Krauss</surname>
<given-names>Alexander</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="cogs13188-aff-0003">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="cogs13188-aff-0004">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib id="cogs13188-cr-0003" contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Braganza</surname>
<given-names>Oliver</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="cogs13188-aff-0005">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="cogs13188-aff-0006">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="cogs13188-aff-0001">
<label>
<sup>1</sup>
</label>

<named-content content-type="organisation-division">
<italic>Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence</italic>
</named-content>

<institution>
<italic>University of Cambridge</italic>
</institution>

</aff>
<aff id="cogs13188-aff-0002">
<label>
<sup>2</sup>
</label>

<named-content content-type="organisation-division">
<italic>Center for Science and Thought</italic>
</named-content>

<institution>
<italic>University of Bonn</italic>
</institution>

</aff>
<aff id="cogs13188-aff-0003">
<label>
<sup>3</sup>
</label>

<named-content content-type="organisation-division">
<italic>CPNSS</italic>
</named-content>

<institution>
<italic>London School of Economics</italic>
</institution>

</aff>
<aff id="cogs13188-aff-0004">
<label>
<sup>4</sup>
</label>

<institution>
<italic>Spanish National Research Council</italic>
</institution>

</aff>
<aff id="cogs13188-aff-0005">
<label>
<sup>5</sup>
</label>

<named-content content-type="organisation-division">
<italic>Institute for Experimental Epileptology and Cognition Research</italic>
</named-content>

<institution>
<italic>University of Bonn</italic>
</institution>

</aff>
<aff id="cogs13188-aff-0006">
<label>
<sup>6</sup>
</label>

<named-content content-type="organisation-division">
<italic>Center for Science and Thought</italic>
</named-content>

<institution>
<italic>University of Bonn</italic>
</institution>

</aff>
<author-notes>
<corresp id="correspondenceTo"><label>*</label>Correspondence should be sent to the main author Uwe Peters, Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence, University of Cambridge, 16 Mill Lane, Cambridge CB2 1SB, UK. E‐mail: <email>up228@cam.ac.uk</email><break/></corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date date-type="pub" publication-format="electronic"><day>31</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date><pub-date date-type="pub" publication-format="print"><month>09</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date><volume>46</volume>
<issue seq="50">9</issue>
<issue-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1111/cogs.v46.9</issue-id>
<elocation-id>e13188</elocation-id>
<history>

<date date-type="rev-recd">
<day>28</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>

<date date-type="received">
<day>30</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2021</year>
</date>

<date date-type="accepted">
<day>01</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>

</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement content-type="issue-copyright">© 2022 Cognitive Science Society LLC.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-statement content-type="article-copyright">© 2022 The Authors. <italic>Cognitive Science</italic> published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Cognitive Science Society (CSS).</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2022</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>© 2022 The Authors. Cognitive Science published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Cognitive Science Society (CSS).</copyright-holder>
<license>
<ali:license_ref>http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ali:license_ref>
<license-p>This is an open access article under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution</ext-link> License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract xml:lang="en" abstract-type="main">
<title>Abstract</title>
<p xml:lang="en">Many scientists routinely generalize from study samples to larger populations. It is commonly assumed that this cognitive process of scientific induction is a voluntary inference in which researchers assess the generalizability of their data and then draw conclusions accordingly. We challenge this view and argue for a novel account. The account describes scientific induction as involving by default a generalization bias that operates automatically and frequently leads researchers to unintentionally generalize their findings without sufficient evidence. The result is unwarranted, overgeneralized conclusions. We support this account of scientific induction by integrating a range of disparate findings from across the cognitive sciences that have until now not been connected to research on the nature of scientific induction. The view that scientific induction involves by default a generalization bias calls for a revision of the current thinking about scientific induction and highlights an overlooked cause of the replication crisis in the sciences. Commonly proposed interventions to tackle scientific overgeneralizations that may feed into this crisis need to be supplemented with cognitive debiasing strategies against generalization bias to most effectively improve science.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group kwd-group-type="author-generated" xml:lang="en">
<kwd id="cogs13188-kwd-0001">Scientific induction</kwd>
<kwd id="cogs13188-kwd-0002">Overgeneralization</kwd>
<kwd id="cogs13188-kwd-0003">Bounded cognition</kwd>
<kwd id="cogs13188-kwd-0004">Generalization bias</kwd>
<kwd id="cogs13188-kwd-0005">Replication crisis</kwd>
</kwd-group>
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</front>
</article>